正常化偏誤
正常化偏誤是一种認知偏誤，是指人们不相信或不擔心、忽視其他人提出或觀察到的可能的威脅和警告。[1]因此此時人們會低估了灾难发生的可能性、災難的蔓延時間以及灾难帶來的潜在的不利影响。 [2]正常化偏誤导致许多人没有为自然灾害、市场崩盘和人为错误造成的灾难做好充分准备。据报道，大约70%的人在灾难期间表现出正常化偏誤。[3]
参考文献
[编辑]- ^ Drabek, Thomas E. Human system responses to disaster : an inventory of sociological findings. New York: Springer Verlag. 1986: 72. ISBN 978-1-4612-4960-3. OCLC 852789578.
The initial response to a disaster warning is disbelief.
- ^ Omer, Haim; Alon, Nahman. The continuity principle: A unified approach to disaster and trauma. American Journal of Community Psychology. April 1994, 22 (2): 275–276. PMID 7977181. doi:10.1007/BF02506866 （英语）.
... normalcy bias consists in underestimating the probability of disaster, or the disruption involved in it ...
- ^ Inglis-Arkell, Esther. The frozen calm of normalcy bias. Gizmodo. May 2, 2013 [23 May 2017]. （原始内容存档于2021-05-15）. Cites:
| 認知與決策偏誤 |
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| 統計與機率偏誤 | |
| 其他偏误 | |
| 应对方法 | |
